Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.253514 0.346807 0.450747 0.572925 0.710652 0.859424 1.030701
2025-07-13 0.144087 0.265631 0.419162 0.616243 0.853697 1.123569 1.447239
2025-07-20 0.092739 0.222737 0.403973 0.650671 0.959915 1.321300 1.763946
2025-07-27 0.066939 0.205495 0.415218 0.713269 1.097111 1.553844 2.120693
2025-08-03 0.044434 0.183378 0.413167 0.753563 1.202787 1.745797 2.427301
2025-08-10 0.023086 0.151087 0.389289 0.759680 1.261787 1.878906 2.662411
2025-08-17 0.005232 0.104813 0.332736 0.712888 1.247020 1.917591 2.781231
2025-08-24 NaN 0.066433 0.277413 0.659826 1.218176 1.934471 2.870110
2025-08-31 NaN 0.045822 0.248076 0.641411 1.232889 2.003791 3.020935
2025-09-07 NaN 0.035122 0.236262 0.648818 1.282143 2.116481 3.224700
2025-09-14 NaN 0.023851 0.217477 0.642065 1.309768 2.200143 3.391628
2025-09-21 NaN 0.013677 0.194217 0.624409 1.319763 2.259491 3.527177
2025-09-28 NaN 0.011730 0.199602 0.660731 1.412967 2.434011 3.814969
2025-10-05 NaN 0.010734 0.208694 0.704601 1.518558 2.626578 4.127734
2025-10-12 NaN 0.009279 0.214708 0.742317 1.614673 2.806252 4.423863
2025-10-19 NaN 0.010794 0.235808 0.809092 1.754752 3.045058 4.795575
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009937 0.244551 0.852189 1.859297 3.236479 5.107282
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006181 0.234683 0.858697 1.908344 3.353451 5.324296
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001053 0.198071 0.808737 1.869471 3.350859 5.387846
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.161297 0.751954 1.816518 3.326807 5.421989
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.143333 0.732215 1.819692 3.377925 5.551555
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.137850 0.740156 1.866800 3.489477 5.759379
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.126616 0.732916 1.888659 3.565638 5.920962